As we head into the holiday season, we can’t help but reflect on all there is to be grateful for personally as well as here at Lighthouse Financial Advisors. Whether at home or at work, we value and appreciate the long-lasting relationships we’ve built and know how fortunate we are. In this time of reflection, it makes us realize how much gratitude, as a tool, can help with maintaining a positive mindset, keep us grateful for what we have, and to motivate us to stay on track with our goals in our everyday lives.
Gratitude is defined as “the quality of being thankful; readiness to show appreciation for and to return kindness.”
With the onslaught of Black Friday and Cyber Monday deals, advertisers aim to trigger an emotional response for something consumers are missing in their lives that only their product can solve. With a gratitude practice in place, you routinely take stock of what you have, and it has been shown that this helps to ease temptations for instant gratification. Although this year, instant gratification might not be so instant given the shipping and supply chain delays, reminding ourselves to be thankful for what we already have will help cut down on unnecessary spending and stay the course with our long-term goals.
Don’t get us wrong, we are always supportive of finding a deal or sale on an item you need or something that you’ve worked so hard to get. If that item is on sale, go for it! In that case, we are grateful you found it on sale!
“Remember, happiness doesn’t depend upon who you are or what you have, it depends on what you think. So, start each day by thinking of all the things you have to be thankful for.” — Dale Carnegie

The Chinese developer Evergrande has been in the news, the fear is they are over-leveraged and will soon miss interest payments to investors. This caused a big sell-off in the stock market on Monday and spooked some investors to the sidelines. As I write, the markets have recovered from the one-day sell-off. Investors who invested in over-leveraged products to earn a higher yield are now worried about the return of their principal ouch! The current risk-free return is close to .4% and with 2 plus % inflation the real rate return after inflation is negative -1.5% to -2% on cash, but you still have all your principal to spend yeah! We hear a lot where I can go for yield. Our recommendation has always been to build a spending plan (put those funds in the pantry savings accounts, savings bonds, A-rated bonds), own your house with a 30-year fixed mortgage (hedge against higher interest rates), and build a low-cost diversified stock portfolio (crops in the field). Most investors have done very well with this approach over the last 2 years balancing the negative interest rates with oversized equity returns. Everyone’s situation is unique, and we are constantly making changes so you can enjoy the ride. Legg Mason analyst Raymond DeVoe said it best: “More money has been lost reaching for yield than at the point of a gun.” And as our own Sean Lane likes to say, “Let’s bubble wrap the cash so you can spend your hard-earned savings.”

Biden tax plan – highlights from webinar “The Washington Update” from Andy Friedman

The immediate take away Andy thinks it won’t be 3.5 trillion but be closer to 1.2 & 1.5 trillion still a huge number. President Biden is sticking to his pledge those making less than $400,000 will not see a tax increase. The plan would take effect January 2022 and not be retroactive to 2021.

  1. Tax rates – top rate moved from 37% to 39.6%

———–a. Over 5 million income 3% excise tax on the amount over

———–b. Major marriage penalty

———————————-i. $400,000 for Single

———————————-ii.$450,000 for Married (War on working couples)

  1. Capital gains will move from 20% to 25% – not the 39.6% the president wanted on incomes -over $400K (COULD be retroactive to 9/13/2021)
  1. Phase-out of section 199A 20% business income deduction for incomes over $400K
  1. Another big hit to small businesses 3.8% Medicare surcharge on Sub Chapter S Income
  1. Roth conversions and back door Roth’s

————a. For Roth conversions income must be below $400,000

————b. Eliminating back door Roth’s

  1. The favorable treatment for carried interest will be pared back to require 5 year holding period for long term capital gains
  1. Legislation will go after “BIG” IRAs value cannot exceed $10 Million amount over must come out & taxed right away. And they just wanted to be funny, if the IRA is over $20 million then 100% is tax immediately – WOW some tax hit in one year with the state tax close to 60%
  1. Also, for IRA’s only allowed to hold SEC registered investments
  1. Estate taxes

————a. Looking for a reduction in the exemption from $11.7 Million to $5 Million

————b. Step up in basis will be preserved

  1. Corporate tax rate will move from 21% to 25%
  1. Corporations with overseas net income will have to pay 16.5% on those earnings
  1. No repeal on 1031 exchanges
  1. To get votes might increase the SALT deduction from $10,000 – for high tax states CT, MA, MD, NJ, NY, CA

We are staying on top of all the changes above. We constantly monitor your unique tax situation and will make changes to stay one step ahead of Uncle Joe.

Social Security Trust Fund In The News

Social Security Trust fund is set to run dry in 2034, one year earlier than last year when it was expected to run out in 2035. We can thank the pandemic. Given the current situation in Washington, DC expect this issue to be pushed out a few years. Potential ways the solve the problem, increase the tax base on income on which Social Security is taxed (Yes, another tax increase on both employers and employees, a double whammy for self-employed) Move the age you can claim benefits from 62 to 65, full retirement age from 67 to 70 & full benefits at age 73. If your income is over a certain amount, you would receive no Social Security. Of course, this would be subject to a phase-in – NO current Democrat or Republican will touch this with a 10-foot pole. It will be a mad scramble as we get closer to 2034.

The number one way younger people can protect themselves is to take full advantage of retirement plans and save, save. If you’re a boomer & see a working millennial or Gen Z, give them a hug. Gen Alpha good luck you’re on your own!

As Congress continues to negotiate over budget and infrastructure legislation and key parts of President Biden’s domestic agenda advance, smart taxpayers will start planning for the potential tax code changes that will follow suit in order to finance the plan. (see my previous blog from October 2020 regarding Biden’s tax proposal while campaigning for the White House – https://lighthousepro.wpengine.com/how-a-biden-presidency-could-impact-your-taxes/).

Earlier this year, Biden reiterated his goal to increase the capital gains tax rate for those with adjusted gross income of more than $1 million. The current Federal tax rate for long-term capital gains (held for more than 1 year) is 20%. The proposal would increase the maximum rate to be the same as the highest ordinary income tax rate (currently 37% but likely to increase to 39.6%). This would effectively double the long-term capital gain tax. The stock market and cryptocurrencies have huge gains over the last few years so we expect many people to have unrealized gains well over $1 million.

How can you plan now?

  1. Shift Income –Shifting certain flexible income payments such as bonuses, retirement plan distributions, option exercises and/or stock sales by either accelerating or deferring them so you do not hit the $1 million threshold.
  2. 2. Less Portfolio Turnover – Making proactive decisions to not lock in gains in taxable accounts for reallocation purposes. Taxpayers with active trading could pay significantly more in taxes, therefore, reducing their net investment gains.
  3. Tax-Loss Harvesting – Selling positions with losses offsets the gains and reduces tax liability. A highly recommended strategy regardless of the proposed higher tax rate on capital gains. Sometimes having a few losing positions is not so bad.
  4. Hold & Do Not Sell – A taxpayer will not have any gains if they do not make any sales. Perhaps wait until the tax code changes in the future when a new President is in the White House.
  5. Cost Basis Method – Selecting specific lot cost basis versus average lot cost basis allows taxpayers to choose which lots to sell, therefore, creating more flexibility to lock in gains or loses.
  6. Reallocate in Retirement Accounts – since IRAs/Roth IRAs/401ks/etc. do not tax capital gains then selling positions in these accounts will not result in additional taxes owed. If you want to reduce stock holdings then use these accounts.

    While we may be several months away from knowing if any of Biden’s tax proposals will become law, it is never too early to start planning for how they could impact you.

Technology has been rapidly evolving for several years now, even more since the Covid-19 pandemic began. Over the last year our dependence on emails, computers, phones, and various software programs to stay up to date with work and personal life has undoubtedly increased. Unfortunately, hackers’ techniques have continued to evolve during the pandemic as well. Most of us by this point have received typical junk mail for shopping, phone calls for car warranties, and of course the most recent – tax scams! The IRS continues to warn Americans of specific tax scams to be on high alert about. These scams have tricked people into believing their legitimacy by playing off of the public’s misunderstandings of the quickly changing tax laws and also by using extremely realistic phishing content. With so many questions on the new tax measures, many individuals find themselves searching extensively over the internet looking for answers. Below are a few situations to be aware of and some tips on how to avoid their traps.

  1. Economic Impact Payments/Stimulus Checks
    a) Taxpayers may receive emails, phone calls, texts, or even physical mail. Be cautious when clicking on email attachments or links and delete any potential threats if possible. Block and report any potentially suspicious activity.
    b) Main targets have been elderly individuals and those who filed their returns via direct deposit. Cybercriminals will often try to capture login credentials by pretending to be a trusted source (a company or person) and attempt to obtain your personal information. They can then try to gain access to your personal routing and account numbers. Reminder: the IRS will only initiate with a taxpayer via verified US mail, so be careful not to fall for any alternative forms of communication.
    c) For those who elected for physical checks, checks can be taken from mailboxes. Any potentially lost checks should be reported to the US Postal Service.
  2. Unemployment Benefits
    a) Covid-19 has caused a historic amount of unemployment claims. Cybercriminals have the capability of tapping into individual bank accounts or attempting to change bank account numbers to deposit to a different source. Be sure to enable available security features and privacy settings as well as notifications to alert you of transactions.
    b) Fake unemployment forms exist – they could be sent electronically or physically mailed. Hackers have been reported to file claims on behalf of individuals using stolen information.
  3. Child Tax Credit Payments
    a) Tax payments began this July to eligible US taxpayers based on their 2019 & 2020 tax returns and are already considered the most vulnerable form of spam.
    b) Watch out for any forms of communication expressing help to speed up payments or to help track payments (only valid source would be the IRS.gov portal)
    c) The most common scam of the new child tax credits are phone calls and emails offering to help walk you through the signup process for the payments. Be aware that eligible taxpayers are automatically accounted for by the IRS based on 2019 and 2020 tax returns and will be issued payments directly.

These latest tax scams are all avoidable by taking proper cybersecurity measures, remaining alert/vigilant, and reporting any potentially suspicious activity. Be sure to enable two-factor account authorization when available and turn on available alerts for bank/credit card transactions. When in doubt about a source it is best to err on the side of caution. Technology is a great advancement in our society, but unfortunately, it also comes with the risk of cybersecurity threats. By implementing some simple strategies correctly, you can help reduce your risk and hopefully stop costly breaches before they happen.

It seems the days of wondering if crypto is here to stay are becoming a thing of the past as signs are emerging that the cryptocurrencies and blockchain industry are consistently growing stronger. With the cryptocurrency space having gained so much interest, its increasing pace of adoption, and the willingness of both individuals and companies alike seeking to gain exposure, many are shifting their mindset and are now wondering – where is it going?

Control & Understanding

Cryptocurrencies are alternative assets that not only have real value, as they can be used to buy and sell things, but also intrinsic value as they have the potential to store and grow value. Although we’ve seen crypto’s value fluctuate which is driven by investor’s belief in its value, we should remember this is still based on speculation. With no clear track record to assess long-term value, we see its value rise and fall based on an unpredictable demand cycle. As an asset, the evaluation is more about the technology behind it rather than the belief that it will become a popular currency. And its volatility, in essence, works against its use as a currency. Without widespread adoption, its use as a currency will remain limited.

Future / Hybrids

The future of crypto is riddled with the misunderstanding of what it is as well as attempts to control it (ex: Chinese Government), tax it (ex: The IRS), and profit from it (ex: JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, etc.).

The want to control crypto comes from fear of not having its users and transitionary history be visible, traceable, and enforceable. Countries with mass control over their citizens, such as China, have drawn lines in the sand against crypto even back to 2017 when they banned initial coin offerings and banned local exchanges from using it. Another large nail in the proverbial “coffin” landed in May of 2021 when they put a soft ban on mining crypto. This push for control will always be in opposition to the goal of crypto, which was created as a self-governing-like system with no user or central system “having the keys”.

Taxing crypto will provide a steady revenue stream for Tax Collection agencies such as the IRS, but also grant them, control over who owns crypto.

Profiting from Crypto has been the most important race of all. With companies snatching up all of the BTC (Bitcoin) that they can and the average joes still scrambling to find out where they can buy it, it is easy to see that the market to buy or sell will continue to be – shaky.

Buy?

Our clients and our client’s kids have been and will presumably continue asking – should they buy crypto? The answer is – in short – up to you. If you choose to buy, buy it because you believe it will gain widespread acceptance as a digital currency. As a long-term asset, it’s more likely a risky pricing game. Keep in mind though that it is up to you to keep meticulous records of the cost basis of your purchases, sales prices, as well as lots that you hold, buy and sell. You will need this information for future tax return filings.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/political-china-hates-bitcoin-loves-blockchain
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/042015/why-governments-are-afraid-bitcoin.asp
https://www.urdesignmag.com/technology/2020/11/09/five-ways-that-cryptocurrencies-are-changing-the-world-we-live-in/
https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/10-ways-cryptocurrency-will-make-the-world-a-better-place-2018-01-16
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/091013/future-cryptocurrency.asp
https://www.forbes.com/sites/ninabambysheva/2021/06/08/the-future-of-crypto-and-blockchain-fintech-50-2021/?sh=532cd02453b1
https://online.stanford.edu/future-for-cryptocurrency

With so many changes happening around us — school winding down, warmer temps, the ability to travel and see friends — one change that we’re keeping an eye on closely here at Lighthouse Financial Advisors are the changes to the Child Tax Credit (CTC).  For 2021 only, the CTC will be expanded by the IRS under the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) of 2021 and will start to process advanced payments to qualified families with dependents.

 

What is the CTC? In simplest terms a child tax credit is meant to financially help families with the high costs of raising a family.

 

Who qualifies for the credit?

  • For tax year 2021, families claiming the CTC will receive up to $3,000 per qualifying child between the ages of 6 and 17 at the end of 2021. They will receive $3,600 per qualifying child under age 6 at the end of 2021. (Previously, the CTC amount was up to $2,000 per qualifying child under the age of 17 at year’s end.)
  • Single filers with an adjusted gross income (AGI) of $75,000 or less are eligible to receive the full credit. Those with an AGI between $75,000 and $147,000 (for children under 6) and $75,000 and $135,000 (for children between 6 and 17) are eligible for a partial
  • The increased amounts are reduced and phased out for incomes over $150,000 for married taxpayers filing a joint return, $112,500 for heads of household, and $75,000 for all other taxpayers.

 

What does this mean?

  • Many taxpayers will receive an increase in the benefit of the Child Tax Credit.
  • The credit for qualifying children is fully refundable, meaning taxpayers can benefit from the credit even if they don’t have earned income or don’t owe any income taxes.
    • I.E. Before this change, certain low-income Individuals could only receive up to $1,400 per child as a refund, instead of the full $2,000 child credit, if their child credit was more than the taxes they otherwise owed. Under the new rules for 2021, people who qualify for a child tax credit can receive the full credit as a refund, even if they have no tax liability.
  • The credit will include children who turn age 17 in 2021.
  • Taxpayers may receive part of their credit in 2021 before filing their 2021 tax return in the form of monthly advances.

 

When Do the Monthly Advances begin?

  • According to the IRS, the first payments will begin being sent to qualified recipients starting July 15th. According to WSJ, an estimated 39 million households will receive the monthly payments. It is expected that 50% of the payment amount will be sent at first, based on information gathered from the recipient’s previous tax returns.
    • E. July through December families will receive 1/12th of their child tax credit they’re due (based off of 2020 AGI) each month via direct deposit or in the form of a check.
    • When you (or LFA) file your 2021 Income Tax Return you will need to report the total amounts received in monthly CTC advancements
    • You will then (if still eligible) receive the final ½ of your CTC when you/we file your return.

 

I think I qualify, what should I do?

  • Eligible taxpayers do not need to take any action now other than to file their 2020 tax return if they have not yet already done so.
  • LFA HIGHLY recommends keeping a log of any and all benefits received throughout the year (July thru December).
  • Eligible taxpayers who do not want to receive advance payment of the 2021 Child Tax Credit do have the chance to opt-out of advance payments, instead choosing to receive it as a lump sum next year. The IRS will be announcing more information and steps on what taxpayers can do to update their information to ensure proper compliance with the rules by July 1st.

 

If you’re interested in calculating the monthly amount you’re eligible to receive starting on July 15th please never hesitate to reach out to anyone here at LFA.

Coming off a whirlwind of a year in 2020, as we faced unprecedented circumstances, there were certainly a number of hard lessons learned as we sailed through unchartered territory. For many individuals, the biggest lesson was perhaps the realization that they simply were not prepared for the changes they now had to face. Although grudgingly learned, these lessons have brought rise to an overwhelming emphasis on having a positive outlook to live a simple and more enjoyable life.

So what if we ignored conventional wisdom and started sweating the small stuff?

In his book, An Astronauts Guide to Life on Earth, Col. Chris Hadfield states, “An astronaut who doesn’t sweat the small stuff is a dead astronaut.” We may not all face the same intense decision making required of an astronaut but the point is a good one. Paying attention to the granular details made a substantial difference in Hadfield’s life and career. If we had focused on the more granular details of our lives, building a good and balanced life, perhaps our finances, jobs, and personal relationships would have been better insulated against the hardships of a turbulent time like we all just experienced.

We cannot always control what happens in life. We can control how prepared we are. No matter what life event you are experiencing, be it retirement, career change, or starting a family, planning for success is crucial. Depending on your level of preparation, you will have passed or failed before you began. Hadfield even argues we should visualize failure and not success to better prepare. Break down each situation, look at every angle and then formulate your plan.

And, of course, even after all that preparation, things can go wrong. C’est la vie. Oui? The best thing one can do for themselves, their family or their team, is to hold on to that sense of calm being prepared can bring. By sweating the small stuff (without letting anyone see you sweat of course!), you will be better positioned to navigate gracefully through almost any situation.

As the next generation continues to work hard & graduate college, it is important to know what the next steps may be. Some of us are going into business, engineering, law, maybe even astronauts, etc. The world is competitive and as a result, we all aim to push ourselves to be the best we can be. Sometimes determining the future can be puzzling, but with a strong mindset and doing the simple things first, the future becomes more of a journey rather than a mystery. Being in the work force for 2 ½ years now has been an eye-opening experience, it has helped me evolve as an individual as well as motivate me to build out a strong foundation. Here are a few exercises the next generation can take to take flight off the runway:

1. Create your ideal vision and set your goals! Craft your plan and stick to it!

2. Setting your comfortable cash reserves/ “sleep at night” money. Recommend opening a high yield savings account at a financial institution such as Marcus or American Express which, although lower now in response to the Federal Reserve’s emergency rate cuts, still continue to offer some of the strongest yields available.

3. Create a reasonable budget and remember to save! An easy tip is to automatically set up a weekly/monthly transfer from your checking to a savings/brokerage account. However, make sure you continue to enjoy life and treat yourself when appropriate.

4. Manage to pay bills/loan payments on time such as credit cards, any student loans, & utilities. Important to keep your debt low especially with high interest rates on loans & credit cards.

5. Open & fund a Roth IRA to start building up after tax retirement assets. With an adjusted gross income within $125,000 – you would be eligible to contribute up to $6,000. Having a mix of pre & after-tax dollars gives you options similar to having multiple pots cooking on the stove.

6. Participate in your employer sponsored retirement plan such as 401, 403b, or self-employed plan. For those of us entering into or who are in the earlier side of their career, the current contribution maximum is $19,500. By investing in retirement now, you have the potential for fantastic long-term earnings.

7. If you have a comfortable side cash reserve, invest in a liquid brokerage account. This is a great way to invest for longer term by taking some risk to seek more growth compared to your savings account

8. Invest in your career, you are your most valuable asset. Whether it is going for additional degrees, professional designations or participating in webinars/information sessions.

9. Most importantly – DO WHAT YOU LOVE TO DO! Only you know this answer, too many young individuals are working without a purpose. Life is too short to waste being unhappy. Follow your heart and you are in great hands!

Things usually go right when we follow a recipe. Things quickly turn into a disaster when we improvise or add in things that don’t belong. Let’s add a little more of this and let’s forget this…unless its bacon which makes everything better.  2020 has been a year with lots of distractions with many reasons to add a little more of this and forget about that.

With the New Year coming It’s a good time to review the basics of a sound financial plan and see how we did this year. We call these basics the Five Fundamentals of Fiscal Fitness. They are so basic that most people completely ignore them.

Things usually go right when we follow a recipe. Things quickly turn into a disaster when we improvise or add in things that don’t belong. Let’s add a little more of this and let’s forget this…unless it’s bacon, which makes everything better. 2020 has been a year with lots of distractions with many reasons to add a little more of this and forget about that.
With the New Year coming It’s a good time to review the basics of a sound financial plan and see how we did this year. We call these basics the Five Fundamentals of Fiscal Fitness. They are so basic that most people completely ignore them.

 

1. Pay yourself first (Harvest & plant your crops)
—a. Save at least 10% of your annual income
—b. Review your risks and portfolio
—c. Rebalance taxable & tax-deferred savings toward less risky assets
2. Have sufficient liquidity (Move crops to the pantry)
—a. Should have 50% of annual spending in cash reserve
—b. Layout an annual spending plan / 5-year spending plan
—c. Don’t forget about #1
3. No consumer debt (Empty pantry & no money for new crops)
—a. Learn the difference between good and bad debt
—b. Take advantage of low interest rates
—c. Don’t forget #1 & #2
4. Own the right size home (Barn)
—a. For most, their home is the most significant financial investment
—b. Is it time to trade up or down
—c. Don’t forget #1, #2 & #3
5. Invest in yourself (The farmer)
—a. Human capital is our biggest & most valuable asset
—b. Improve skills, education, personal growth – have a 1-year vision & 5-year vision ——–of your unique future
—c. And don’t forget about your health or #1, #2, #3 & #4 won’t be so important